Weather Facts: Temperature and rain outlook

With the official start of spring just weeks away, here's a look at the temperature and rain outlooks from March to May.

The warming of the pacific called El Nino has been the driving force to the weather scene for the last year. It's showing signs of weakening.

Most of the models predict a weaker El Nino to last through early summer.

The last four springs have been wetter than average especially last year because of the El Nino influence.

In Austin we picked up two feet of rain in three months. The last dry spring occurred in 2011 followed by the hottest summer. You want a very rainy spring to delay and ease the extreme heat in the summer.

Based on El Nino lingering, the climate prediction center shows Texas staying wetter than average. There is a decent chance that we'll surpass the average spring rainfall of 9.3".

It's been tranquil the last two months but with the tropics heating up the southern branch of the jetstream turn more active delivering more storm systems.

With more moisture available and waves of low pressure to interact with the West Texas dryline we may see slight uptick in severe weather especially in April and May.

It already feels like spring and there is a good chance the spring-like feel will last longer this year but won't get too hot if the forecast for rainy spring comes true.

If you have a weather question feel free to email Zack or check Zack out on Twitter and Facebook.

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