As advertised, the Atlantic hurricane season has been a tame one. Only nine tropical systems have formed and most haven't impacted the
Zack Shields tells us how often October hurricanes form and what the chances are they hit Texas?
Since 1851, 63 hurricanes have ended up in Texas. Nineteen of them have reached major status with winds of 111 mph or higher.
Texas encounters a bunch of tropical storms early in the summer, but if we are going to see a hurricane, it normally happens in August and September.
The last time a hurricane took aim on Texas in September was Ike in 2008, which hit southeast Texas with 110 mph winds.
There is only a two-percent chance of a Texas hurricane landfall during October in any given year. Texas gets one storm every 26 years in October.
The latest hurricane to make landfall in Texas during October was Jerry in 1989, as it made landfall in Galveston.
This late in the season, the gulf and Caribbean are the breeding grounds for tropical systems and they usually travel to the north.
In the fall, the Jetstream starts to a dip to the south, overtaking the tropical trade winds. The higher frequency of cold fronts is more likely to keep hurricanes away from Texas.