Zack's Weather Facts: Fall temperatures outlook

Fall is here but summer continues to linger and linger. Meteorologist Zack Shields looks at why it has been so hot this fall and what can we expect for the rest of the year.

The calendar says summer is over, but it doesn't feel like it outside. In September we had 26 days with temperatures above average. The main reason for a toasty September is the storm-track that continues to hang out in Canada. This is steering the fronts well to the north and allowing the summer-like heat bubble to live on.

During a normal fall, we begin to see the storm-track buckle to the south, sending fronts into Texas and forcing the heat into the tropics. In the next few weeks, the fronts will start to march across the country more frequently.

Not a big fan of the heat? Hang in there because the Climate Prediction Center still shows below average temperatures from October to December.

El Niño is still going strong. Significant warming of the eastern pacific is occurring from South America to Alaska. We don't usually start to feel the impacts from El Niño until late fall and winter.

The warm ocean water will help energize the southern branch of the storm-track. This is a rain machine highway. The tropical flow will force stronger pacific storms into Texas more often especially in the winter.

The chances are high that it will be wetter than average this winter and perhaps through next spring. More cloudy and rainy days could make for a chilly winter.

Meteorologist Zack Shields can answer weather questions via email at or check him out on Twitter and Facebook.

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